Luis Angel Firpo 0-1 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 14 Dec 2025

📅14/12/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.48/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.91
+16% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aguila
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
08.12.2025 Aguila Aguila 1-3 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
17.11.2025 Aguila Aguila 3-3 HT 3-2 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
14.09.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
07.04.2025 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 2-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
10.02.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
23.11.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 2-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila edged past Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Luis Angel Firpo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 1.67 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila?

Luis Angel Firpo 0-1 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 14/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 41%, draw 26%, Aguila 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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