Cosenza Calcio 0-1 Cesena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
40%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.79
6+ Goals
8%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 34% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-7.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.0pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena EU Bookmakers 51%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
0.98/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-3% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -56%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.1 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cosenza Calcio
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cesena
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.33 xG 2.02
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
423 Passes 243
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 5
14.12.2024 Cesena Cesena 2-1 HT 1-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cosenza Calcio
0-1
AWAY Cesena
0.92 xG 0.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
357 Passes 323
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cosenza Calcio vs Cesena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena squeezed past Cosenza Calcio 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Cesena found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cosenza Calcio had 51% of the ball to Cesena's 49%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.92 to 0.25 — on chances, Cosenza Calcio could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Cosenza Calcio vs Cesena?

Cosenza Calcio 0-1 Cesena in the Italy - Serie B on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cosenza Calcio vs Cesena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cosenza Calcio 31%, draw 29%, Cesena 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cesena), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cesena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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