Palermo 2-0 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.17
6+ Goals
12%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.74/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.40
-8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
25.1 Crosses 17.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Frosinone
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.99 xG 0.86
54% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
326 Passes 261
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2024 Frosinone Frosinone 1-1 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
18.02.2023 Palermo Palermo 1-1 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
17.09.2022 Frosinone Frosinone 1-0 HT 1-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
16.06.2018 Frosinone Frosinone 2-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
13.06.2018 Palermo Palermo 2-1 HT 1-1 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
10.03.2018 Palermo Palermo 1-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
2-0
AWAY Frosinone
1.25 xG 1.61
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
304 Passes 355
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo got the better of Frosinone 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Palermo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Palermo had 48% of the ball to Frosinone's 52%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.25 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Palermo and 1.00 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Frosinone?

Palermo 2-0 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Palermo 50%, draw 24%, Frosinone 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palermo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palermo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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