Modena 2-2 Brescia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.13
6+ Goals
9%
20.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 32% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.6pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modena EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Brescia EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.12/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.38
-8% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
19.5 Crosses 18.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modena
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Brescia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.52 xG 0.87
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
347 Passes 291
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.12.2024 Brescia Brescia 3-3 HT 1-2 Modena Modena İTB
13.01.2024 Modena Modena 1-2 HT 0-2 Brescia Brescia İTB
24.10.2023 Brescia Brescia 0-1 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
11.02.2023 Brescia Brescia 0-1 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
10.09.2022 Modena Modena 1-3 HT 1-1 Brescia Brescia İTB
20.02.2016 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Modena
2-2
AWAY Brescia
0.92 xG 1.52
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
321 Passes 340
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Modena vs Brescia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modena and Brescia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Modena had 48% of the ball to Brescia's 52%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.92 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modena had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Modena and 1.33 for Brescia.

What was the final score of Modena vs Brescia?

Modena 2-2 Brescia in the Italy - Serie B on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modena vs Brescia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Modena 37%, draw 28%, Brescia 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Modena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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