Sassuolo 0-2 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.11
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.88
6+ Goals
13%
8.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.3pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 30%
+11% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.18/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.51
-13% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
17.8 Crosses 16.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Catanzaro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 0.51
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
412 Passes 411
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-1 HT 0-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo
0-2
AWAY Catanzaro
0.83 xG 0.53
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
473 Passes 276
92% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sassuolo vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro saw off Sassuolo 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sassuolo at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sassuolo had 61% of the ball to Catanzaro's 39%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 0.83 to 0.53.

What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Catanzaro?

Sassuolo 0-2 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 49%, draw 28%, Catanzaro 23%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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