Koper 1-0 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.34
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.1
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.53
6+ Goals
16%
6.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
29%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
70%
-2.2pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.3pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koper EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +20%
2.26/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.46
-2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koper
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Aluminij
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2026 Aluminij Aluminij 2-4 HT 1-4 Koper Koper SLVN
22.11.2025 Koper Koper 4-1 HT 2-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
29.08.2025 Aluminij Aluminij 1-0 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
11.04.2024 Koper Koper 2-1 HT 0-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
16.02.2024 Aluminij Aluminij 1-2 HT 1-1 Koper Koper SLVN
26.11.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 3-2 HT 2-1 Koper Koper SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koper
1-0
AWAY Aluminij
63% Ball Possession 37%
8 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Koper vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper edged past Aluminij 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Koper as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Koper had 63% of the ball to Aluminij's 37%, shots finished 8-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Koper had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Koper and 1.50 for Aluminij.

What was the final score of Koper vs Aluminij?

Koper 1-0 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koper vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated a Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Koper 68%, draw 18%, Aluminij 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Koper) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Koper) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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