Maribor 0-3 Olimpija Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
2.99
6+ Goals
9%
9.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -17%
1.68/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.62
+14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
281 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2026 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
23.11.2025 Maribor Maribor 1-1 HT 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
31.08.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
03.05.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-2 HT 1-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
09.03.2025 Maribor Maribor 1-0 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
10.11.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
0-3
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana ran out comfortable winners over Maribor 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Maribor at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Maribor had 62% of the ball to Olimpija Ljubljana's 38%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Maribor and 0.50 for Olimpija Ljubljana.

What was the final score of Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Maribor 0-3 Olimpija Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Maribor 45%, draw 25%, Olimpija Ljubljana 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Maribor), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
9 May 2026
16:00 NK Bravo vs Radomlje Analysis →
18:30 Koper vs Aluminij Analysis →