Beşiktaş 1-2 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.96
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.71
2-3 Goals
41%
2.15
4-5 Goals
22%
2.39
6+ Goals
12%
4.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.1
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
18%
4.78
X/2
6%
9.53
X/X
11%
7.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
17.8
2/2
11%
6.02
2/X
5%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.8 — our 13% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.0pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.74/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.55
-1% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
21.1 Crosses 15.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Trabzonspor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.17 xG 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
342 Passes 298
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2025 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-3 HT 1-3 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
15.02.2025 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-1 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
15.09.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
23.05.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-2 HT 1-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TÜK
04.02.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 2-0 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
17.09.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-0 HT 2-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
1-2
AWAY Trabzonspor
2.27 xG 0.90
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
422 Passes 238
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 5
26 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor edged past Beşiktaş 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Beşiktaş at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 63% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 37%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.27 to 0.90 — on chances, Beşiktaş could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Beşiktaş and 1.67 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor?

Beşiktaş 1-2 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Super League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 54%, draw 23%, Trabzonspor 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beşiktaş) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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