Kocaelispor 0-1 Fatih Karagümrük — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.91
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
16.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.81
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
12%
4.69
X/2
9%
7.23
X/X
12%
4.35
2/1
11%
26.0
2/2
11%
5.51
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+4.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -30%
1.09/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.75
+5% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
13.3 Crosses 17.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kocaelispor
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.45 xG 0.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
358 Passes 245
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2025 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 1-1 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TSL
16.03.2025 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 1-1 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
02.11.2024 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-1 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük T1L
13.02.2005 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 0-2 HT 0-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
12.09.2004 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 5-1 HT 4-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kocaelispor
0-1
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
0.39 xG 0.29
65% Ball Possession 35%
7 Total Shots 6
0 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
497 Passes 228
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
8 Box Touches 3
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Kocaelispor vs Fatih Karagümrük
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Fatih Karagümrük edged past Kocaelispor 1-0 away from home in the Turkey - Super League on 9 May 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kocaelispor had 65% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 35%, shots finished 7-6, expected goals 0.39 to 0.29.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kocaelispor have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Kocaelispor and 0.80 for Fatih Karagümrük.

What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Kocaelispor 0-1 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - Super League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kocaelispor vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kocaelispor 51%, draw 23%, Fatih Karagümrük 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kocaelispor)
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