Göztepe 2-1 Gaziantep FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.73
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.06
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 26% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.99
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.95
X/1
19%
4.08
X/2
8%
10.4
X/X
8%
5.74
2/1
10%
21.4
2/2
6%
8.23
2/X
8%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
60%
+1.4pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.7pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göztepe EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.90/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.69
-38% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
22.8 Crosses 14.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göztepe
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gaziantep FK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.57 xG 1.62
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
242 Passes 280
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2025 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
07.04.2025 Göztepe Göztepe 1-1 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
06.02.2025 Göztepe Göztepe 1-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TÜK
01.11.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 2-1 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
23.04.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
06.12.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 2-1 HT 2-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göztepe
2-1
AWAY Gaziantep FK
2.22 xG 1.03
39% Ball Possession 61%
19 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 7
157 Passes 292
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 20
33 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe squeezed past Gaziantep FK 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Göztepe as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Göztepe had 39% of the ball to Gaziantep FK's 61%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 2.22 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Göztepe had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Göztepe and 0.83 for Gaziantep FK.

What was the final score of Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK?

Göztepe 2-1 Gaziantep FK in the Turkey - Super League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göztepe vs Gaziantep FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Göztepe 61%, draw 21%, Gaziantep FK 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Göztepe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Göztepe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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