Galatasaray 4-2 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
82%
1.16
Draw
12%
7.78
Away
6%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.17
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.06
No
47%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
7.36
2-3 Goals
38%
2.23
4-5 Goals
27%
2.33
6+ Goals
18%
4.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1.19
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
4%
33.5
X/1
25%
3.91
X/2
2%
34.0
X/X
4%
13.1
2/1 EV+ ✓
10%
23.1
2/2
2%
34.0
2/X
4%
34.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
83%
Home Win
82%
+0.0pp
12%
Draw
10%
+1.4pp
6%
Away Win
7%
-1.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.0pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
2.55/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.37
+8% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +12%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
25.9 Crosses 13.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Antalyaspor
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.61 xG 0.85
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
380 Passes 254
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-4 HT 0-2 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
14.03.2025 Galatasaray Galatasaray 4-0 HT 3-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
19.10.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-3 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
26.02.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 2-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
07.10.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
21.01.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
4-2
AWAY Antalyaspor
4.30 xG 0.35
70% Ball Possession 30%
23 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
447 Passes 149
87% Pass Accuracy 65%
45 Box Touches 7
34 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray beat Antalyaspor 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 83%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Galatasaray had 70% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 30%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 4.30 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Galatasaray and 0.50 for Antalyaspor.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor?

Galatasaray 4-2 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 83%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 83%, draw 12%, Antalyaspor 6%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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