Başakşehir FK 3-0 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.78
6+ Goals
11%
7.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.28
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
10%
12.9
X/1
16%
4.59
X/2
6%
8.76
X/X
13%
5.69
2/1
7%
20.55
2/2
9%
6.17
2/X
4%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
1.83/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.34
+23% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
19.3 Crosses 15.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Samsunspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.96 xG 0.97
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
397 Passes 280
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2025 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
01.02.2025 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 4-0 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
18.09.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
03.03.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
22.10.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
11.01.2014 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-3 HT 1-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
3-0
AWAY Samsunspor
2.77 xG 0.47
40% Ball Possession 60%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
232 Passes 371
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 13
9 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK cruised past Samsunspor 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Başakşehir FK as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 40% of the ball to Samsunspor's 60%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.77 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Başakşehir FK and 0.83 for Samsunspor.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Samsunspor?

Başakşehir FK 3-0 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 51%, draw 27%, Samsunspor 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✗ BTTS Yes
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