Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 Portuguesa FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.14/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.25
-8% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
17.1 Crosses 14.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 0.66
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
324 Passes 255
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.04.2026 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
31.08.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 3-1 HT 0-1 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
09.06.2025 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 HT 1-0 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC VEN
04.05.2025 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
31.03.2025 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
05.10.2024 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
1-1
AWAY Portuguesa FC
1.39 xG 0.95
74% Ball Possession 26%
24 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 0
390 Passes 101
86% Pass Accuracy 62%
27 Box Touches 7
29 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira and Portuguesa FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo La Guaira at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 74% of the ball to Portuguesa FC's 26%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 1.39 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.00 for Portuguesa FC.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC?

Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 Portuguesa FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 41%, draw 30%, Portuguesa FC 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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