Metropolitanos 2-0 Estudiantes De Merida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.26/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.38
+25% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
275 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 82%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
22.2 Crosses 16.9
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metropolitanos
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.86 xG 0.98
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
199 Passes 336
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2026 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
13.09.2025 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
06.04.2025 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 HT 0-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
03.09.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 4-0 HT 1-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
16.03.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
30.07.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metropolitanos
2-0
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
2.77 xG 0.23
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
193 Passes 401
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes De Merida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos beat Estudiantes De Merida 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Metropolitanos as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Metropolitanos had 36% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 64%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.77 to 0.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Metropolitanos and 1.17 for Estudiantes De Merida.

What was the final score of Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Metropolitanos 2-0 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metropolitanos win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Metropolitanos 46%, draw 27%, Estudiantes De Merida 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metropolitanos), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Metropolitanos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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