Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterey Bay v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
2-1
HT 1-0
Monterey Bay
USLP
4-2
HT 2-1
New Mexico United
USLP
Monterey Bay 2-5 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United ran out comfortable winners over Monterey Bay 5-2 away from home in the USL Championship on 9 Aug 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, shots finished 26-12, expected goals 2.78 to 1.74.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, New Mexico United lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monterey Bay and 1.50 for New Mexico United.
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United?
Monterey Bay 2-5 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 09/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterey Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 46%, draw 23%, New Mexico United 32%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monterey Bay) went the other way.