Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterey Bay v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
2-1
HT 1-0
Monterey Bay
USLP
4-2
HT 2-1
New Mexico United
USLP
2-0
HT 2-0
Monterey Bay
USLP
Monterey Bay 1-1 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
Monterey Bay and New Mexico United shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the USL Championship on 21 Sep 2025. Half-time: 0-0.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Monterey Bay had 39% of the ball to New Mexico United's 61%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.43 to 1.90.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, New Mexico United lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Monterey Bay and 1.67 for New Mexico United.
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United?
Monterey Bay 1-1 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United?
Before kick-off our model rated an New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 36%, draw 24%, New Mexico United 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (New Mexico United), BTTS No went the other way.