Chesterfield 0-3 Accrington Stanley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.12
6+ Goals
12%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 27% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.91
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.85
X/1
19%
3.81
X/2
11%
11.6
X/X
9%
5.8
2/1
10%
22.3
2/2
11%
8.92
2/X
6%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+10.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
1.49/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.73
-31% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 67%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
24.7 Crosses 18.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesterfield
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Accrington Stanley
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
06.01.2018 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 4-0 HT 2-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
16.09.2017 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-2 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
04.10.2016 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-4 HT 0-3 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İNTK
08.03.2014 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 3-1 HT 3-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
07.09.2013 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-0 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
01.01.2013 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-0 HT 0-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesterfield
0-3
AWAY Accrington Stanley
1.00 xG 2.62
77% Ball Possession 23%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
527 Passes 93
86% Pass Accuracy 53%
24 Box Touches 8
33 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chesterfield vs Accrington Stanley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accrington Stanley cruised past Chesterfield 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chesterfield at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Chesterfield had 77% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 23%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.00 to 2.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chesterfield and 2.33 for Accrington Stanley.

What was the final score of Chesterfield vs Accrington Stanley?

Chesterfield 0-3 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesterfield vs Accrington Stanley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 50%, draw 22%, Accrington Stanley 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Chesterfield), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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