Swindon Town 1-1 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.75
1/2
9%
24.15
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
11%
5.96
X/2
13%
5.35
X/X
6%
5.31
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
17%
3.22
2/X
11%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.7pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
1.26/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.12
+28% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
263 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 75%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
16.8 Crosses 18.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Salford City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.04 xG 1.39
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
315 Passes 338
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Salford City Salford City 2-2 HT 1-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
18.02.2023 Salford City Salford City 1-2 HT 1-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
06.08.2022 Swindon Town Swindon Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
26.02.2022 Swindon Town Swindon Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
21.08.2021 Salford City Salford City 0-1 HT 0-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
16.11.2019 Salford City Salford City 2-3 HT 1-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swindon Town
1-1
AWAY Salford City
2.40 xG 0.99
55% Ball Possession 45%
25 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 7
218 Passes 155
65% Pass Accuracy 58%
46 Box Touches 33
21 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Swindon Town vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Town and Salford City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Swindon Town had 55% of the ball to Salford City's 45%, shots finished 25-13, expected goals 2.40 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swindon Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Swindon Town and 1.17 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Swindon Town vs Salford City?

Swindon Town 1-1 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Town vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Swindon Town 36%, draw 26%, Salford City 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Salford City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salford City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
10 Feb 2024
18:00 Wrexham vs Bradford City Analysis →
18:00 Walsall vs Newport County Analysis →
18:00 Crewe Alexandra vs Crawley Town Analysis →
18:00 Harrogate Town vs Colchester Analysis →
18:00 AFC Wimbledon vs Barrow Analysis →
18:00 Morecambe vs Sutton United Analysis →