Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 Suduva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2026

📅10/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Suduva EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.82/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.20
-6% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 185 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Suduva
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2025 Suduva Suduva 1-3 HT 0-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
07.08.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 HT 1-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
19.06.2025 Suduva Suduva 2-2 HT 1-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
16.04.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-0 HT 1-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
25.08.2024 Suduva Suduva 1-1 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
23.06.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 HT 1-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
1-0
AWAY Suduva
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius nicked a narrow win over Suduva 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 57% of the ball to Suduva's 43%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 0.67 for Suduva.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva?

Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 Suduva in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 10/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 56%, draw 24%, Suduva 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LITA More Lithuania - 1st Division
10 Mar 2026
19:45 Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys Analysis →