Kauno Zalgiris 4-0 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2026

📅10/03/2026 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
66%
-0.3pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.1pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 16%
-22% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.24/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.51
-40% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% / -19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FK Panevezys
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.02.2026 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITSK
02.11.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-2 HT 1-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
24.08.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
24.06.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
19.04.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-2 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
05.10.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
4-0
AWAY FK Panevezys
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris cruised past FK Panevezys 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 64% of the ball to FK Panevezys's 36%, shots finished 15-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 0.50 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys?

Kauno Zalgiris 4-0 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 10/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 66%, draw 18%, FK Panevezys 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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