Catanzaro 1-3 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 May 2024

Catanzaro
1-3 HT 1-1
Sampdoria
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Catanzaro vs Sampdoria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
44%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
8%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 29% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.9
1/2
4%
22.7
1/X
4%
14.35
X/1 EV+ ✗
17%
8.1
X/2
11%
4.28
X/X
13%
5.21
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.44
2/X
7%
13.9
Value flag · X/1 at 8.1 — our 17% vs market 8.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.5pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Catanzaro v Sampdoria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 55%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.69/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.80
+73% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Catanzaro vs Sampdoria Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sampdoria
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 11
369 Passes 336
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 33
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-2 HT 1-2 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB

Catanzaro 1-3 Sampdoria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
1-3
AWAY Sampdoria
1.10 xG 3.53
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
526 Passes 328
91% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria beat Catanzaro 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sampdoria as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Catanzaro had 59% of the ball to Sampdoria's 41%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.10 to 3.53.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Sampdoria?

Catanzaro 1-3 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 32%, draw 24%, Sampdoria 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sampdoria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sampdoria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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