Cremonese 3-0 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 May 2024

Cremonese
3-0 HT 2-0
Cittadella
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Cremonese vs Cittadella Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.33
Over 2.5
47%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
5.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
23%
2.76
6+ Goals
9%
7.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.01 — our 29% vs market 15.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.12
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
12%
4.34
X/2
13%
9.95
X/X
11%
5.87
2/1
7%
20.8
2/2
10%
6.71
2/X
10%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-10.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
39%
+13.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
61%
-13.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.4pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cremonese v Cittadella — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.59/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.25
-12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
24.9 Crosses 23.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2

Cremonese vs Cittadella Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cittadella
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.59 xG 0.97
49% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
307 Passes 288
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.10.2023 Cremonese Cremonese 2-1 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTK
27.10.2023 Cittadella Cittadella 1-2 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
12.02.2022 Cittadella Cittadella 0-2 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
12.09.2021 Cremonese Cremonese 2-0 HT 1-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
31.01.2021 Cittadella Cittadella 1-1 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
27.09.2020 Cremonese Cremonese 0-2 HT 0-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB

Cremonese 3-0 Cittadella — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
3-0
AWAY Cittadella
1.61 xG 1.03
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
476 Passes 278
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese swept aside Cittadella 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cremonese as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cremonese had 60% of the ball to Cittadella's 40%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.61 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cremonese had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cremonese and 0.83 for Cittadella.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs Cittadella?

Cremonese 3-0 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie B on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 45%, draw 27%, Cittadella 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cremonese), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cremonese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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