Sebail FK 0-1 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
49%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
50%
Away Win
46%
+3.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 50%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.07/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.60
-6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +107%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sebail FK
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Zira
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
09.03.2025 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 0-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
21.12.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
04.08.2024 Zira Zira 4-1 HT 3-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
08.02.2024 Zira Zira 3-0 HT 2-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERK
30.01.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-2 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERK
22.01.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Sebail FK vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira nicked a narrow win over Sebail FK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sebail FK and 1.83 for Zira.

What was the final score of Sebail FK vs Zira?

Sebail FK 0-1 Zira in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sebail FK vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sebail FK 24%, draw 27%, Zira 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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