Osijek 0-1 Istra 1961 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.86
Over
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.69
No
49%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.05
2-3
41%
1.72
4-5
21%
3.43
6+
8%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.05 — our 30% vs market 25.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Istra 1961 The Market 38%
-7% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.08/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.38
-40% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
24.2 Crosses 17.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osijek
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Istra 1961
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.14 xG 1.69
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
312 Passes 350
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2026 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-1 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
07.12.2025 Osijek Osijek 1-5 HT 0-3 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
21.09.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-1 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
25.05.2025 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 0-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
29.03.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-1 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
20.12.2024 Osijek Osijek 2-2 HT 0-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osijek
0-1
AWAY Istra 1961
0.57 xG 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
422 Passes 293
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Osijek vs Istra 1961
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Istra 1961 came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Osijek 1-0 on their travels.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Istra 1961 found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (55%) came home.

Under the surface, Osijek had 57% of the ball to Istra 1961's 43%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.57 to 0.67.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Osijek and 2.00 for Istra 1961.

Osijek vs Istra 1961 Result & Final Score

Osijek 0-1 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Osijek vs Istra 1961 Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Osijek 39%, draw 26%, Istra 1961 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Osijek), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osijek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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