Osijek 1-5 Istra 1961 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.7
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
19.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
+5.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -1%
1.08/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.20
-12% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
23.2 Crosses 15.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osijek
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Istra 1961
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.16 xG 1.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
304 Passes 308
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-1 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
25.05.2025 Osijek Osijek 1-1 HT 0-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
29.03.2025 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-1 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
20.12.2024 Osijek Osijek 2-2 HT 0-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
04.10.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 2-1 HT 2-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
20.04.2024 Osijek Osijek 1-2 HT 1-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osijek
1-5
AWAY Istra 1961
1.00 xG 2.05
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
368 Passes 370
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osijek vs Istra 1961
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istra 1961 ran out comfortable winners over Osijek 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Osijek at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Osijek had 51% of the ball to Istra 1961's 49%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.00 to 2.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Osijek and 1.83 for Istra 1961.

What was the final score of Osijek vs Istra 1961?

Osijek 1-5 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osijek vs Istra 1961?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Osijek 46%, draw 25%, Istra 1961 30%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Osijek) ✗ Under 2.5
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