NK Varazdin 4-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.02
6+ Goals
10%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.8pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -6%
1.03/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.16
-32% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
21.5 Crosses 19.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Varazdin
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.07 xG 1.06
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
265 Passes 298
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
26.04.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
21.02.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
23.11.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
01.09.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
13.04.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NK Varazdin
4-2
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
2.27 xG 1.76
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
158 Passes 275
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH NK Varazdin vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Varazdin beat Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 34% — and on the day NK Varazdin made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, NK Varazdin had 41% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 59%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 2.27 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiva Zagreb led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for NK Varazdin and 1.00 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.

What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

NK Varazdin 4-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a NK Varazdin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 39%, draw 26%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 34%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Varazdin), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NK Varazdin) ✓ BTTS Yes
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