Slaven Belupo 1-0 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
48%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.91
Over
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.72
No
46%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.22
2-3
39%
1.73
4-5
23%
3.28
6+
11%
12.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
14%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slaven Belupo The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica The Market 53%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.83/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.24
-10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -15%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
233 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
18.8 Crosses 16.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slaven Belupo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY HNK Gorica
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
313 Passes 267
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2026 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 2-2 HT 1-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
05.12.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-1 HT 1-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
21.09.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 2-1 HT 2-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
18.05.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 4-0 HT 2-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
14.03.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-3 HT 0-2 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
05.03.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 3-1 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slaven Belupo
1-0
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.07 xG 0.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
298 Passes 372
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Slaven Belupo came out on the right side of a one-goal game with HNK Gorica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

A gentle 48% lean on HNK Gorica didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 52% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.

On the day, Slaven Belupo had 45% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 55%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.07 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slaven Belupo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Slaven Belupo and 1.00 for HNK Gorica.

Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica Result & Final Score

Slaven Belupo 1-0 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an HNK Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 26%, draw 26%, HNK Gorica 48%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HNK Gorica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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