HNK Gorica vs Slaven Belupo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HNK Gorica v Slaven Belupo — Team-Based Signals
HNK Gorica vs Slaven Belupo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
HNK Gorica 2-2 Slaven Belupo — Actual Match Statistics
HNK Gorica and Slaven Belupo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was HNK Gorica at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, HNK Gorica had 42% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 58%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 2.34 to 0.83.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slaven Belupo led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for HNK Gorica and 2.50 for Slaven Belupo.
What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Slaven Belupo?
HNK Gorica 2-2 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Slaven Belupo?
Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 41%, draw 26%, Slaven Belupo 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HNK Gorica), Under 2.5 went the other way.