FK Panevezys 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
52%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+7.9pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
53%
Away Win
63%
-10.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 67%
+62% / +62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.67/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.00
+77% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -15%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
232 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 507 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.03.2026 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 4-0 HT 3-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
16.02.2026 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITSK
02.11.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-2 HT 1-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
24.08.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
24.06.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
19.04.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-2 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Panevezys and Kauno Zalgiris couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kauno Zalgiris at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FK Panevezys and 2.17 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs Kauno Zalgiris?

FK Panevezys 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 24%, draw 24%, Kauno Zalgiris 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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