Wexford Youths 2-2 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 10 Jul 2026

📅10/07/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
23%
3.71
6+ Goals
7%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 32% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -22%
1.31/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.85
-21% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wexford Youths
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kerry
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
15.05.2026 Kerry 2-1 HT 1-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
13.03.2026 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-1 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
10.10.2025 Kerry 0-2 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
27.06.2025 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 4-3 HT 1-3 Kerry İR1
16.05.2025 Kerry 1-1 HT 1-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
21.03.2025 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-2 HT 0-2 Kerry İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wexford Youths
2-2
AWAY Kerry
7 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wexford Youths vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wexford Youths and Kerry shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Wexford Youths at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wexford Youths and 1.50 for Kerry.

What was the final score of Wexford Youths vs Kerry?

Wexford Youths 2-2 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 10/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wexford Youths vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Wexford Youths 46%, draw 23%, Kerry 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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