Finn Harps 0-1 Treaty United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 10 Jul 2026

📅10/07/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.91
Over 2.5
39%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.31
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
3.21
6+ Goals
9%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 31% vs market 23.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Treaty United EU Bookmakers 39%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -9%
1.06/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.95
-26% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
220 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Treaty United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2026 Treaty United Treaty United 3-0 HT 2-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
13.03.2026 Finn Harps Finn Harps 2-2 HT 0-2 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
29.08.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-0 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
27.06.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 0-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
02.05.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-2 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
28.02.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 3-1 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finn Harps
0-1
AWAY Treaty United
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Treaty United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treaty United nicked a narrow win over Finn Harps 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Treaty United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Finn Harps and 1.67 for Treaty United.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Treaty United?

Finn Harps 0-1 Treaty United in the Ireland - 1st Division on 10/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Treaty United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 38%, draw 28%, Treaty United 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Finn Harps) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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