Kerry 2-1 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.62
Over 2.5
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
16%
4.32
6+ Goals
7%
23.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.43 — our 36% vs market 33.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-6.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.29/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.41
+3% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wexford Youths
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
13.03.2026 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-1 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
10.10.2025 Kerry 0-2 HT 0-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
27.06.2025 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 4-3 HT 1-3 Kerry İR1
16.05.2025 Kerry 1-1 HT 1-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
21.03.2025 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-2 HT 0-2 Kerry İR1
11.10.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 4-0 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerry squeezed past Wexford Youths 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Kerry made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wexford Youths led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kerry and 2.17 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Wexford Youths?

Kerry 2-1 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerry win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Kerry 36%, draw 31%, Wexford Youths 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kerry) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kerry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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