Chippenham Town 1-2 Farnborough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.94
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 25% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-5.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnborough EU Bookmakers 52%
+8% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.50/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.02
+23% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Farnborough
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2024 Farnborough Farnborough 3-1 HT 2-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
07.11.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
04.04.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
18.03.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 0-1 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
1-2
AWAY Farnborough
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Farnborough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough nicked a narrow win over Chippenham Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Farnborough as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 57% of the ball to Farnborough's 43%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chippenham Town had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chippenham Town and 1.25 for Farnborough.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Farnborough?

Chippenham Town 1-2 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Farnborough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 31%, draw 26%, Farnborough 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farnborough), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Farnborough) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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