Valour 1-2 Atletico Ottawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
56%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.3pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.7pp
56%
Away Win
55%
+0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valour EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.78/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.04
-4% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -33%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 83%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
13.8 Crosses 17.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valour
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.88 xG 1.71
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
321 Passes 494
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.06.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 3-0 HT 1-0 Valour Valour KAPL
10.05.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 5-2 HT 3-1 Valour Valour KAPL
10.09.2024 Valour Valour 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
21.07.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HT 1-1 Valour Valour KAPL
09.06.2024 Valour Valour 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
05.05.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-0 HT 2-0 Valour Valour CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valour
1-2
AWAY Atletico Ottawa
2.05 xG 1.37
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
354 Passes 524
85% Pass Accuracy 91%
17 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valour vs Atletico Ottawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa nicked a narrow win over Valour 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Ottawa as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Valour had 43% of the ball to Atletico Ottawa's 57%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 2.05 to 1.37 — on chances, Valour could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Valour and 2.50 for Atletico Ottawa.

What was the final score of Valour vs Atletico Ottawa?

Valour 1-2 Atletico Ottawa in the Kanada - Premier League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valour vs Atletico Ottawa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Valour 24%, draw 20%, Atletico Ottawa 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Ottawa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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