Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Charlotte Independence v Greenville Triumph — Team-Based Signals
Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 0-1
Greenville Triumph
USL1
3-2
HT 2-1
Charlotte Independence
USL1
Charlotte Independence 4-5 Greenville Triumph — Actual Match Statistics
Greenville Triumph squeezed past Charlotte Independence 5-4 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Greenville Triumph made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
On the day, Charlotte Independence had 43% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 57%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 2.01 to 2.30.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Charlotte Independence and 1.33 for Greenville Triumph.
What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph?
Charlotte Independence 4-5 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph?
Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 39%, draw 26%, Greenville Triumph 34%. The final score 4-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Charlotte Independence) went the other way.