Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities
Birmingham Legion v Hartford Athletic — Team-Based Signals
Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Birmingham Legion 1-4 Hartford Athletic — Actual Match Statistics
Hartford Athletic cruised past Birmingham Legion 4-1 on the road. Half-time: 0-2. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
Our pre-match lean was Birmingham Legion at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Birmingham Legion had 61% of the ball to Hartford Athletic's 39%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.65 to 2.84.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Birmingham Legion and 1.00 for Hartford Athletic.
Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic Result & Final Score
Birmingham Legion 1 - 4 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Birmingham Legion vs Hartford Athletic Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 44%, draw 26%, Hartford Athletic 30%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Birmingham Legion) went the other way.