Las Vegas Lights 1-1 San Antonio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.7
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
3.89
6+ Goals
7%
18.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 32% vs market 29.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.9pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.2pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-7.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY San Antonio EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.11/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.04
+3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
14.9 Crosses 18.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Vegas Lights
1W-2D-3L
AWAY San Antonio
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.52
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
298 Passes 197
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
08.06.2025 San Antonio San Antonio 3-0 HT 2-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
12.05.2024 San Antonio San Antonio 1-1 HT 1-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
07.04.2024 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 1-0 HT 0-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
08.05.2023 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 1-2 HT 1-1 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
30.04.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 1-1 HT 1-1 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
14.08.2022 San Antonio San Antonio 2-0 HT 2-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Vegas Lights
1-1
AWAY San Antonio
1.49 xG 1.72
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
250 Passes 478
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Vegas Lights and San Antonio couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Las Vegas Lights had 37% of the ball to San Antonio's 63%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.49 to 1.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Antonio led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 1.50 for San Antonio.

What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio?

Las Vegas Lights 1-1 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Vegas Lights vs San Antonio?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 32%, draw 32%, San Antonio 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Antonio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Antonio) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
10 Aug 2025
01:00 Lexington vs Phoenix Rising Analysis →
02:00 Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Orange County SC Analysis →
02:00 Miami FC vs El Paso Locomotive Analysis →
02:00 Rhode Island vs Loudoun United Analysis →
02:00 Detroit City vs Indy Eleven Analysis →
02:30 North Carolina vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Analysis →