Benin 2-1 Libya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 10 Sep 2024

Benin
2-1 HT 0-1
Libya
📅10/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.77
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.36
Over 2.5
45%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.33
No
49%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
1.9
2-3 Goals
47%
1.88
4-5 Goals
16%
7.21
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
32%
-4.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
70%
-14.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
30%
+14.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
39%
+11.8pp
49%
BTTS No
61%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benin EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Libya EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
Crosses 20.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benin
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Libya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
09.10.2005 Benin Benin 1-0 HT 0-0 Libya Libya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benin
2-1
AWAY Libya
1.70 xG 0.92
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
391 Passes 204
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 4
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Benin vs Libya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benin nicked a narrow win over Libya 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Benin as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Benin had 62% of the ball to Libya's 38%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.70 to 0.92.

What was the final score of Benin vs Libya?

Benin 2-1 Libya in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benin vs Libya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Benin 41%, draw 28%, Libya 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benin), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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