Burkina Faso vs Lesotho Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burkina Faso v Lesotho — Team-Based Signals
Burkina Faso vs Lesotho Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Burkina Faso
AFUK
3-1
HT 2-0
Lesotho
AFUK
0-1
HT 0-1
Burkina Faso
AFUK
2-0
HT 1-0
Lesotho
AFUK
Burkina Faso 3-1 Lesotho — Actual Match Statistics
Burkina Faso beat Lesotho 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Burkina Faso as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Burkina Faso had 54% of the ball to Lesotho's 46%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.80 to 0.89.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Burkina Faso had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Burkina Faso and 0.25 for Lesotho.
What was the final score of Burkina Faso vs Lesotho?
Burkina Faso 3-1 Lesotho in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burkina Faso vs Lesotho?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burkina Faso win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Burkina Faso 52%, draw 29%, Lesotho 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burkina Faso) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.