Çekya 3-2 Ukrayna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.71
Over
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No Pick
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.84
2-3
40%
1.77
4-5
21%
4.11
6+
10%
19.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.42
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
15%
4.99
X/2
12%
5.95
X/X
14%
4.18
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
16%
4.37
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çekya EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ukrayna EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
Crosses 5.5
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çekya
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Ukrayna
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.00 xG 2.12
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
297 Passes 479
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.09.2021 Çekya Çekya 1-1 HT 0-1 Ukrayna Ukrayna HAZ
16.10.2018 Ukrayna Ukrayna 1-0 HT 1-0 Çekya Çekya AVUL
06.09.2018 Çekya Çekya 1-2 HT 1-1 Ukrayna Ukrayna AVUL
15.08.2012 Ukrayna Ukrayna 0-0 HT 0-0 Çekya Çekya HAZ
06.09.2011 Çekya Çekya 4-0 HT 2-0 Ukrayna Ukrayna HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çekya
3-2
AWAY Ukrayna
2.39 xG 2.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 8
266 Passes 383
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 28
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Çekya vs Ukrayna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çekya squeezed past Ukrayna 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Çekya made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Çekya had 42% of the ball to Ukrayna's 58%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 2.39 to 2.17.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ukrayna led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Çekya and 0.80 for Ukrayna.

What was the final score of Çekya vs Ukrayna?

Çekya 3-2 Ukrayna in the UEFA Uluslar League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çekya vs Ukrayna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çekya win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Çekya 38%, draw 28%, Ukrayna 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çekya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çekya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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