Honduras vs Nikaragua Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Honduras v Nikaragua — Team-Based Signals
Honduras 2-0 Nikaragua — Actual Match Statistics
Honduras beat Nikaragua 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Honduras as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Honduras had 57% of the ball to Nikaragua's 43%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.35 to 0.52.
What was the final score of Honduras vs Nikaragua?
Honduras 2-0 Nikaragua in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Honduras vs Nikaragua?
Before kick-off our model rated a Honduras win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Honduras 60%, draw 22%, Nikaragua 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Honduras), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.