İngiltere 1-2 Yunanistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
23%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.95
Over
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No Pick
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.47
2-3
40%
1.8
4-5
23%
3.43
6+
9%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.47 — our 28% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.56
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
23.6
X/1
19%
3.26
X/2
6%
19.1
X/X
10%
6.47
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
10%
16.9
2/X
9%
24.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
71%
-18.2pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.5pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+12.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.5pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İngiltere EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunanistan EU Bookmakers 14%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-18% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
493 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
60.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.0 Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İngiltere
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Yunanistan
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
16.08.2006 İngiltere İngiltere 4-0 HT 4-0 Yunanistan Yunanistan HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İngiltere
1-2
AWAY Yunanistan
0.84 xG 0.74
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
512 Passes 245
89% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH İngiltere vs Yunanistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunanistan nicked a narrow win over İngiltere 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was İngiltere at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, İngiltere had 64% of the ball to Yunanistan's 36%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.84 to 0.74.

What was the final score of İngiltere vs Yunanistan?

İngiltere 1-2 Yunanistan in the UEFA Uluslar League on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İngiltere vs Yunanistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a İngiltere win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split İngiltere 53%, draw 24%, Yunanistan 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (İngiltere) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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