Finlandiya 1-2 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
66%
1.48
Over
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2.16
2-3
39%
1.81
4-5
16%
5.82
6+
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.75
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.75
X/1
15%
5.76
X/2
17%
4.77
X/X
16%
3.49
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
3.65
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.0pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.2pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.4pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finlandiya EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 42%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.58/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.87
-15% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
11.1 Crosses 22.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finlandiya
2W-0D-0L
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.34 xG 1.12
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
434 Passes 438
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2020 Finlandiya Finlandiya 1-0 HT 0-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti AVUL
06.09.2020 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 0-1 HT 0-0 Finlandiya Finlandiya AVUL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finlandiya
1-2
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
1.10 xG 1.49
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 2
445 Passes 357
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Finlandiya vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti nicked a narrow win over Finlandiya 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 34% / 34%) promised a tight game; İrlanda Cumhuriyeti found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Finlandiya had 54% of the ball to İrlanda Cumhuriyeti's 46%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.10 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Finlandiya had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Finlandiya and 0.00 for İrlanda Cumhuriyeti.

What was the final score of Finlandiya vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti?

Finlandiya 1-2 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti in the UEFA Uluslar League on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finlandiya vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti?

Before kick-off our model rated an İrlanda Cumhuriyeti win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Finlandiya 33%, draw 34%, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/34/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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