Moldova 2-0 Andorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.45
Over
36%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
3.06
No
60%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.03
2-3
47%
1.84
4-5
15%
6.41
6+
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.85
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
24.85
X/1
19%
3.06
X/2
9%
16.15
X/X
13%
4.04
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
4%
17.15
2/X
8%
27.5
Value flag · 2/X at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-8.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
28%
+11.2pp
60%
BTTS No
72%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moldova EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Andorra EU Bookmakers 14%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.39/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/2.19
+1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 71%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.2
15.0 Crosses 11.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moldova
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Andorra
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.18 xG 0.35
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
332 Passes 145
75% Pass Accuracy 56%
20 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.06.2022 Moldova Moldova 2-1 HT 1-1 Andorra Andorra AVUL
06.06.2022 Andorra Andorra 0-0 HT 0-0 Moldova Moldova AVUL
11.10.2019 Andorra Andorra 1-0 HT 0-0 Moldova Moldova AVŞE
08.06.2019 Moldova Moldova 1-0 HT 1-0 Andorra Andorra AVŞE
28.03.2016 Moldova Moldova 1-0 HT 1-0 Andorra Andorra HAZ
05.03.2014 Andorra Andorra 0-3 HT 0-2 Moldova Moldova HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moldova
2-0
AWAY Andorra
0.45 xG 0.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 5
280 Passes 182
68% Pass Accuracy 58%
11 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Moldova vs Andorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moldova got the better of Andorra 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Moldova as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Moldova had 56% of the ball to Andorra's 44%, shots finished 7-6, expected goals 0.45 to 0.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moldova had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Moldova and 0.33 for Andorra.

What was the final score of Moldova vs Andorra?

Moldova 2-0 Andorra in the UEFA Uluslar League on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moldova vs Andorra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moldova win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Moldova 56%, draw 27%, Andorra 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moldova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moldova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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