Letonya 0-3 Kuzey Makedonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.52
Over
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.27
2-3
41%
1.79
4-5
16%
5.38
6+
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.47
1/2
4%
33.0
1/X
4%
14.8
X/1
13%
6.55
X/2
8%
4.44
X/X
15%
3.63
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
30%
3.17
2/X
6%
14.3
Value flag · 2/2 at 3.17 — our 30% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.6pp
42%
Away Win
42%
+0.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Letonya EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
Crosses 18.3
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Letonya
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.66 xG 1.93
44% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
276 Passes 378
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2019 Letonya Letonya 0-2 HT 0-2 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya AVŞE
21.03.2019 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya 3-1 HT 2-0 Letonya Letonya AVŞE
05.03.2014 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya 2-1 HT 1-0 Letonya Letonya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Letonya
0-3
AWAY Kuzey Makedonya
0.68 xG 1.18
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
344 Passes 432
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Letonya vs Kuzey Makedonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuzey Makedonya ran out comfortable winners over Letonya 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kuzey Makedonya as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Letonya had 46% of the ball to Kuzey Makedonya's 54%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.68 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kuzey Makedonya led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Letonya and 2.33 for Kuzey Makedonya.

What was the final score of Letonya vs Kuzey Makedonya?

Letonya 0-3 Kuzey Makedonya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Letonya vs Kuzey Makedonya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kuzey Makedonya win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Letonya 32%, draw 26%, Kuzey Makedonya 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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