Norveç vs Slovenya Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Norveç v Slovenya — Team-Based Signals
Norveç vs Slovenya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Norveç
AVUL
0-0
HT 0-0
Slovenya
AVUL
1-1
HT 1-0
Norveç
AVUL
1-0
HT 1-0
Slovenya
AVUL
3-0
HT 2-0
Norveç
DKE
2-1
HT 1-1
Slovenya
DKE
Norveç 3-0 Slovenya — Actual Match Statistics
Norveç swept aside Slovenya 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Norveç as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Norveç had 53% of the ball to Slovenya's 47%, shots finished 25-11, expected goals 2.44 to 0.79.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Norveç and 1.17 for Slovenya.
What was the final score of Norveç vs Slovenya?
Norveç 3-0 Slovenya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Norveç vs Slovenya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Norveç win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Norveç 44%, draw 31%, Slovenya 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norveç), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.