Faroe Adaları 2-2 Ermenistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.52
Over
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.27
2-3
46%
1.79
4-5
16%
5.39
6+
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.55
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
5%
15.25
X/1
12%
6.54
X/2
8%
4.32
X/X
14%
3.71
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
30%
3.11
2/X
6%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.6pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.2pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Faroe Adaları EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ermenistan EU Bookmakers 48%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.43/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.80
-100% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
252 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
22.0 Crosses 11.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Faroe Adaları
2-2
AWAY Ermenistan
0.67 xG 1.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
265 Passes 398
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Faroe Adaları vs Ermenistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Faroe Adaları and Ermenistan couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ermenistan at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Faroe Adaları had 43% of the ball to Ermenistan's 57%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.67 to 1.60.

What was the final score of Faroe Adaları vs Ermenistan?

Faroe Adaları 2-2 Ermenistan in the UEFA Uluslar League on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Faroe Adaları vs Ermenistan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ermenistan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Faroe Adaları 31%, draw 24%, Ermenistan 45%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ermenistan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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