Avusturya 4-0 Kazakistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.16
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
19%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.89
Over
51%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
22%
6.73
2-3
42%
2.15
4-5
24%
2.49
6+
12%
5.06
Value flag · 0-1 at 6.73 — our 22% vs market 10.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.23
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
34.5
X/1
16%
3.45
X/2
5%
34.5
X/X
8%
12.25
2/1
12%
24.85
2/2
8%
31.0
2/X
5%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Avusturya win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
82%
-21.8pp
21%
Draw
12%
+9.0pp
19%
Away Win
6%
+12.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
31%
+17.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
69%
-17.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avusturya EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Kazakistan EU Bookmakers 8%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.59/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.18
-38% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -1%
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
547 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.2
25.0 Crosses 10.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avusturya
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Kazakistan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
15 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
16.10.2012 Avusturya Avusturya 4-0 HT 1-0 Kazakistan Kazakistan DKE
12.10.2012 Kazakistan Kazakistan 0-0 HT 0-0 Avusturya Avusturya DKE
11.10.2011 Kazakistan Kazakistan 0-0 HT 0-0 Avusturya Avusturya AVR
07.09.2010 Avusturya Avusturya 2-0 HT 0-0 Kazakistan Kazakistan AVR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avusturya
4-0
AWAY Kazakistan
3.24 xG 0.17
66% Ball Possession 34%
29 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
14 Corners 3
492 Passes 221
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
55 Box Touches 7
36 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avusturya vs Kazakistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avusturya ran out comfortable winners over Kazakistan 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Avusturya as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Avusturya had 66% of the ball to Kazakistan's 34%, shots finished 29-5, expected goals 3.24 to 0.17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Avusturya had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Avusturya and 0.00 for Kazakistan.

What was the final score of Avusturya vs Kazakistan?

Avusturya 4-0 Kazakistan in the UEFA Uluslar League on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avusturya vs Kazakistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avusturya win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Avusturya 60%, draw 21%, Kazakistan 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avusturya), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avusturya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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