Cebelitarık vs San Marino Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cebelitarık v San Marino — Team-Based Signals
Cebelitarık vs San Marino Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Cebelitarık
AVUL
1-0
HT 1-0
San Marino
AVUL
Cebelitarık 1-0 San Marino — Actual Match Statistics
Cebelitarık edged past San Marino 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Cebelitarık as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Cebelitarık had 50% of the ball to San Marino's 50%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.96 to 0.76.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cebelitarık had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cebelitarık and 0.00 for San Marino.
What was the final score of Cebelitarık vs San Marino?
Cebelitarık 1-0 San Marino in the UEFA Uluslar League on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cebelitarık vs San Marino?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cebelitarık win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Cebelitarık 57%, draw 23%, San Marino 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cebelitarık), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.