Aris Saloniki 1-1 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.67
Over
45%
2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.61
2-3
48%
1.74
4-5
19%
4.14
6+
4%
20.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.26
1/2
3%
28.0
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
10%
7.65
X/2
18%
4.48
X/X
17%
4.28
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
27%
2.75
2/X
5%
14.1
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Aris Saloniki The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina The Market 51%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.21 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.67
1.29 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.87
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Great
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aris Saloniki
0W-2D-4L
AWAY AEK Atina
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.37 xG 2.44
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
188 Passes 371
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 44
7 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 4
23.11.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
09.03.2025 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-0 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
03.12.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-1 HT 1-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUK
30.11.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 4-0 HT 2-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
30.10.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 1-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUK
21.04.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-2 HT 1-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aris Saloniki
1 - 1
AWAY AEK Atina
0.59 xG 1.50
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
193 Passes 386
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Aris Saloniki vs AEK Atina
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Aris Saloniki and AEK Atina with a point apiece.

A gentle 48% lean on AEK Atina didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (55%) came home.

Under the surface, AEK Atina saw more of the ball, 63% to 37%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.59 to 1.50.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Aris Saloniki against 1.50 for AEK Atina.

Aris Saloniki vs AEK Atina Result & Final Score

Aris Saloniki 1 - 1 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Aris Saloniki vs AEK Atina Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 24%, draw 27%, AEK Atina 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AEK Atina), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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